NASCAR Betting by the Numbers: Homestead-Miami Championship Predictions & Picks

With the 2018 NASCAR year coming to an end this weekend at Homestead-Miami, race fans will have their last opportunity to earn some extra money for the next 3 months. Not only is the race sure to become an exciting one, the 2018 NASCAR Champion will be crowned. This implies, NASCAR fans have the pleasure of two distinct major betting opportunities to make the most of.

While Vegas has released their odds for every single driver to win the Ford EcoBoost 400 in Homestead-Miami, I’ve compiled data that shows slightly different outcomes. By choosing to ignore past year’s performances at this course and rather concentrate on season end averages based on 1.5 mile track performances, I have created a listing of drivers that are likely to acquire this weekend. This listing also allows us to evaluate each motorist’s betting return according to their Vegas odds.

Vegas Odds
Kevin Harvick: 11/4
Kyle Busch: 11/4
Kyle Larson: 3/1
Martin Truex Jr.: 6/1
Joey Logano: 10/1
Brad Keselowski: 15/1
Chase Elliott: 20/1
Denny Hamlin: 20/1
Clint Bowyer: 25/1
Kurt Busch: 25/1
Eric Jones: 30/1
Aric Almirola: 40/1
Ryan Blaney: 40/1
Austin Dillon: 80/1
Jimmie Johnson: 80/1
Daniel Su??rez: 100/1
1.5 Mile Finish Averages
Kyle Busch: 5.4 (2) ^1
Joey Logano: 7.25 (5) ^3
Martin Truex Jr.: 8.9 (4) ^1
Kevin Harvick: 9.3 (1) v3
Kyle Larson: 9.6 (3) v2
Brad Keselowski: 9.7 (6) –
Austin Dillon: 10.4 (14) ^7
Eric Jones: 10.6 (11) ^3
Aric Almirola: 12.6 (12) ^3
Ryan Blaney: 12.7 (13) ^3
Clint Bowyer: 13 (9) v2
Kurt Busch: 13 (10) v2
Chase Elliott: 13.9 (7) v6
Denny Hamlin: 14.8 (8) v6
Jimmie Johnson: 17.6 (15) –
Daniel Su??rez: 19.25 (16) –

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